Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 43.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
AFC BournemouthBOU51.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Bournemouth scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.9%
9.1%
8.8%
7.5%
7.3%
Nott'm Forest 1.53 · Bournemouth 1.22
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
37.4% to 50.0%
The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
13 vs 11
Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Bournemouth.
Matchweek 22
Saturday, 23 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.11 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.012 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.022 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.024 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Nott'm Forest vs Bournemouth prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth?
Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.4%. The draw is 27.1%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 AFC Bournemouth, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.9% probability.
When is Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth?
Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth is scheduled for Saturday, 23 January 2027, time provisional.