Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Newcastle United win the strongest outcome at 52.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Newcastle UnitedNEW54.1 projected points
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Newcastle vs Tottenham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
9.7%
9.4%
6.8%
6.5%
6.5%
Newcastle 2.08 · Tottenham 1.39
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
44.4% to 59.8%
The Newcastle home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
9 vs 14
Current mean projected league positions for Newcastle and Tottenham.
Matchweek 32
Saturday, 17 April 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.18 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.018 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.15 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.09 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Newcastle vs Tottenham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Newcastle United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 52.8%. The draw is 22.6%.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely exact score is Newcastle United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 9.7%.
Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The model gives both teams to score a 66.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 67.3% probability.
When is Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Saturday, 17 April 2027, time provisional.