Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Newcastle United win the strongest outcome at 56.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Newcastle UnitedNEW54.1 projected points
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Newcastle vs Ipswich scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.6%
9.8%
8.5%
7.7%
6.6%
Newcastle 2.00 · Ipswich 1.16
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
47.4% to 65.0%
The Newcastle home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
9 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Newcastle and Ipswich.
Matchweek 33
Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.53 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.004 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.257 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.015 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Newcastle vs Ipswich prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town?
Newcastle United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 56.0%. The draw is 23.1%.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town?
The most likely exact score is Newcastle United 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 10.6%.
Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 61.2% probability.
When is Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town?
Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional.