Liverpool vs Newcastle United prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 55.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
Newcastle UnitedNEW54.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Liverpool vs Newcastle scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.3%
9.8%
8.0%
7.0%
6.7%
Liverpool 2.05 · Newcastle 1.22
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
45.3% to 60.1%
The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
4 vs 9
Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Newcastle.
Matchweek 31
Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.21 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.018 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.052 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.028 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Newcastle United?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 55.8%. The draw is 22.7%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Newcastle United?
The most likely exact score is Liverpool 1-1 Newcastle United, with an estimated probability of 10.3%.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Newcastle United?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 63.4% probability.
When is Liverpool vs Newcastle United?
Liverpool vs Newcastle United is scheduled for Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional.