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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 29 · SATURDAY, 13 MARCH 2027

Liverpool vs Ipswich Town prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 63.7%. The most likely score is 2-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE2-19.8% exact-score probability
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
Liverpool win63.7%
Draw20.5%
Ipswich win15.8%
Both teams score59.2%
Over 2.5 goals64.4%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Liverpool vs Ipswich scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#12-1

9.8%

#21-1

9.4%

#32-0

9.3%

#41-0

7.5%

#53-1

7.4%

EXPECTED GOALS

Liverpool 2.26 · Ipswich 1.06

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

51.1% to 72.9%

The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

4 vs 16

Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Ipswich.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 29

Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.74 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.023 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.204 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.044 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Liverpool vs Ipswich prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Ipswich Town?

Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 63.7%. The draw is 20.5%.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Ipswich Town?

The most likely exact score is Liverpool 2-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 9.8%.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Ipswich Town?

The model gives both teams to score a 59.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 64.4% probability.

When is Liverpool vs Ipswich Town?

Liverpool vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional.