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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 26 · SATURDAY, 20 FEBRUARY 2027

Liverpool vs Hull City prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 68.5%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE2-010.8% exact-score probability
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Liverpool win68.5%
Draw19.2%
Hull win12.3%
Both teams score54.1%
Over 2.5 goals62.4%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Liverpool vs Hull scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#12-0

10.8%

#22-1

9.7%

#31-1

9.0%

#41-0

8.6%

#53-0

8.4%

EXPECTED GOALS

Liverpool 2.32 · Hull 0.90

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

58.6% to 73.6%

The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

4 vs 17

Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Hull.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 26

Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.94 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.023 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.118 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.137 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Liverpool vs Hull prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Hull City?

Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 68.5%. The draw is 19.2%.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Hull City?

The most likely exact score is Liverpool 2-0 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 10.8%.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Hull City?

The model gives both teams to score a 54.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 62.4% probability.

When is Liverpool vs Hull City?

Liverpool vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional.