Liverpool vs Everton prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 58.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Liverpool vs Everton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.0%
10.0%
9.6%
9.0%
6.5%
Liverpool 1.96 · Everton 1.03
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
51.2% to 64.2%
The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
4 vs 12
Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Everton.
Matchweek 23
Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.47 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.021 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.026 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.091 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Liverpool vs Everton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Everton?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 58.0%. The draw is 23.3%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Everton?
The most likely exact score is Liverpool 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 11.0%.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Everton?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.5% probability.
When is Liverpool vs Everton?
Liverpool vs Everton is scheduled for Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional.