Liverpool vs Crystal Palace prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 66.1%. The most likely score is 2-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Liverpool vs Crystal Palace scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
9.7%
9.5%
9.0%
7.6%
7.5%
Liverpool 2.34 · Crystal Palace 1.02
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
57.3% to 70.4%
The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
4 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Crystal Palace.
Matchweek 21
Saturday, 16 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.43 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.009 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.013 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.074 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 66.1%. The draw is 19.6%.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely exact score is Liverpool 2-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 9.7%.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 65.3% probability.
When is Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Saturday, 16 January 2027, time provisional.