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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 36 · SATURDAY, 15 MAY 2027

Liverpool vs Brentford prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 52.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.4% exact-score probability
BrentfordBRE56.8 projected points
Liverpool win52.2%
Draw24.5%
Brentford win23.3%
Both teams score59.0%
Over 2.5 goals58.0%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Liverpool vs Brentford scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.4%

#22-1

9.8%

#32-0

8.3%

#41-0

8.2%

#51-2

6.2%

EXPECTED GOALS

Liverpool 1.84 · Brentford 1.17

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

46.3% to 56.5%

The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

4 vs 6

Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Brentford.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 36

Saturday, 15 May 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.35 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0.004 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.029 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.177 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Liverpool vs Brentford prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Brentford?

Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 52.2%. The draw is 24.5%.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Brentford?

The most likely exact score is Liverpool 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Brentford?

The model gives both teams to score a 59.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 58.0% probability.

When is Liverpool vs Brentford?

Liverpool vs Brentford is scheduled for Saturday, 15 May 2027, time provisional.

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