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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 36 · SATURDAY, 15 MAY 2027

Liverpool vs Brentford prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 53.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-110.9% exact-score probability
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
Liverpool win53.4%
Draw23.7%
Brentford win22.9%
Both teams score60.8%
Over 2.5 goals60.8%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Liverpool vs Brentford scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

10.9%

#22-1

9.8%

#32-0

8.1%

#41-0

7.5%

#53-1

6.3%

EXPECTED GOALS

Liverpool 1.94 · Brentford 1.21

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

45.9% to 59.4%

The Liverpool home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

4 vs 6

Current mean projected league positions for Liverpool and Brentford.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 36

Saturday, 15 May 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.35 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0.004 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.064 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.125 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Liverpool vs Brentford prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Brentford?

Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 53.4%. The draw is 23.7%.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Brentford?

The most likely exact score is Liverpool 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 10.9%.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Brentford?

The model gives both teams to score a 60.8% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.8% probability.

When is Liverpool vs Brentford?

Liverpool vs Brentford is scheduled for Saturday, 15 May 2027, time provisional.