Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Leeds United win the strongest outcome at 47.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Leeds UnitedLEE51.8 projected points
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Leeds vs Tottenham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.4%
9.4%
7.1%
7.0%
7.0%
Leeds 1.78 · Tottenham 1.34
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
39.6% to 52.4%
The Leeds home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
10 vs 14
Current mean projected league positions for Leeds and Tottenham.
Matchweek 10
Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.15 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.01 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.013 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.143 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Leeds vs Tottenham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Leeds United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 47.1%. The draw is 24.8%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely exact score is Leeds United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.4% probability.
When is Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional.