Leeds United vs Sunderland prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Leeds United win the strongest outcome at 55.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Leeds UnitedLEE51.8 projected points
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Leeds vs Sunderland scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.6%
9.9%
9.7%
9.6%
6.6%
Leeds 1.84 · Sunderland 1.02
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
49.0% to 61.0%
The Leeds home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
10 vs 19
Current mean projected league positions for Leeds and Sunderland.
Matchweek 37
Sunday, 23 May 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.12 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.008 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.105 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.062 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Leeds vs Sunderland prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Leeds United vs Sunderland?
Leeds United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 55.7%. The draw is 24.4%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Sunderland?
The most likely exact score is Leeds United 1-1 Sunderland, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Sunderland?
The model gives both teams to score a 54.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.6% probability.
When is Leeds United vs Sunderland?
Leeds United vs Sunderland is scheduled for Sunday, 23 May 2027, time provisional.