Leeds United vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Leeds United win the strongest outcome at 56.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Leeds UnitedLEE50.9 projected points
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Leeds vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.7%
10.2%
10.1%
9.9%
7.0%
Leeds 1.81 · Hull 0.98
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
47.8% to 64.2%
The Leeds home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
9 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Leeds and Hull.
Matchweek 28
Wednesday, 3 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.4 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.024 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.083 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.004 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Leeds vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Leeds United vs Hull City?
Leeds United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 56.1%. The draw is 24.6%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is Leeds United 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 11.7%.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 53.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.9% probability.
When is Leeds United vs Hull City?
Leeds United vs Hull City is scheduled for Wednesday, 3 March 2027, time provisional.
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