Leeds United vs Brentford prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Leeds United win the strongest outcome at 40.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Leeds UnitedLEE51.8 projected points
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Leeds vs Brentford scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
13.0%
8.8%
8.4%
7.7%
7.3%
Leeds 1.47 · Brentford 1.29
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
33.8% to 48.0%
The Leeds home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
10 vs 6
Current mean projected league positions for Leeds and Brentford.
Matchweek 2
Sunday, 30 August 2026 at 14:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.19 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.05 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.02 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.043 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Leeds vs Brentford prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Leeds United vs Brentford?
Leeds United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 40.5%. The draw is 27.3%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Brentford?
The most likely exact score is Leeds United 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 13.0%.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Brentford?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.0% probability.
When is Leeds United vs Brentford?
Leeds United vs Brentford is scheduled for Sunday, 30 August 2026 at 14:00 UK time.