Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Leeds United win the strongest outcome at 42.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Leeds UnitedLEE51.8 projected points
AFC BournemouthBOU51.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Leeds vs Bournemouth scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.9%
9.0%
8.6%
7.5%
7.3%
Leeds 1.50 · Bournemouth 1.25
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
34.6% to 48.3%
The Leeds home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
10 vs 11
Current mean projected league positions for Leeds and Bournemouth.
Matchweek 24
Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.26 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.035 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.042 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.075 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Leeds vs Bournemouth prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth?
Leeds United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 42.2%. The draw is 27.2%.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely exact score is Leeds United 1-1 AFC Bournemouth, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.
Will both teams score in Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.9% probability.
When is Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth?
Leeds United vs AFC Bournemouth is scheduled for Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional.