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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 24 · SATURDAY, 6 FEBRUARY 2027

Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 43.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Ipswich TownIPS47.6 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.3% exact-score probability
Tottenham HotspurTOT46.2 projected points
Ipswich win43.1%
Draw25.0%
Tottenham win31.9%
Both teams score63.7%
Over 2.5 goals61.3%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Ipswich vs Tottenham scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.3%

#22-1

9.0%

#31-2

7.6%

#42-2

6.5%

#51-0

6.4%

EXPECTED GOALS

Ipswich 1.72 · Tottenham 1.45

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

35.8% to 53.0%

The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

13 vs 14

Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Tottenham.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 24

Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.35 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.014 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.175 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.036 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Ipswich vs Tottenham prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.1%. The draw is 25.0%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur?

The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur?

The model gives both teams to score a 63.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 61.3% probability.

When is Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Ipswich Town vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional.

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