Ipswich Town vs Leeds United prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 42.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
Leeds UnitedLEE51.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Ipswich vs Leeds scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.8%
9.0%
8.4%
7.5%
7.1%
Ipswich 1.52 · Leeds 1.27
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
31.3% to 53.5%
The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 10
Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Leeds.
Matchweek 34
Saturday, 1 May 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.2 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.024 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.12 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.038 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Ipswich vs Leeds prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Leeds United?
Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 42.1%. The draw is 27.0%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Leeds United?
The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Leeds United, with an estimated probability of 12.8%.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Leeds United?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.8% probability.
When is Ipswich Town vs Leeds United?
Ipswich Town vs Leeds United is scheduled for Saturday, 1 May 2027, time provisional.