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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 22 · SATURDAY, 23 JANUARY 2027

Ipswich Town vs Hull City prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 52.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.9% exact-score probability
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Ipswich win52.7%
Draw25.1%
Hull win22.1%
Both teams score55.8%
Over 2.5 goals54.4%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Ipswich vs Hull scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.9%

#22-1

9.8%

#31-0

9.3%

#42-0

9.1%

#50-0

6.6%

EXPECTED GOALS

Ipswich 1.78 · Hull 1.08

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

42.6% to 59.8%

The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

16 vs 17

Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Hull.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 22

Saturday, 23 January 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.2 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.086 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.093 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Ipswich vs Hull prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Hull City?

Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 52.7%. The draw is 25.1%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Hull City?

The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 11.9%.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Hull City?

The model gives both teams to score a 55.8% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.4% probability.

When is Ipswich Town vs Hull City?

Ipswich Town vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 23 January 2027, time provisional.