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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 38 · SUNDAY, 30 MAY 2027

Ipswich Town vs Everton prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 43.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Ipswich TownIPS47.6 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.8% exact-score probability
EvertonEVE50 projected points
Ipswich win43.6%
Draw27.0%
Everton win29.4%
Both teams score56.5%
Over 2.5 goals52.2%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Ipswich vs Everton scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.8%

#22-1

9.1%

#31-0

8.7%

#42-0

7.5%

#51-2

7.3%

EXPECTED GOALS

Ipswich 1.54 · Everton 1.23

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

34.9% to 53.6%

The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

13 vs 11

Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Everton.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 38

Sunday, 30 May 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.27 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0.002 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.195 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.018 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Ipswich vs Everton prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Everton?

Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.6%. The draw is 27.0%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Everton?

The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 12.8%.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Everton?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.2% probability.

When is Ipswich Town vs Everton?

Ipswich Town vs Everton is scheduled for Sunday, 30 May 2027, time provisional.

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