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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 30 · SATURDAY, 20 MARCH 2027

Ipswich Town vs Crystal Palace prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 44.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Ipswich TownIPS47.6 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.9% exact-score probability
Crystal PalaceCRY47.9 projected points
Ipswich win44.3%
Draw25.6%
Crystal Palace win30.0%
Both teams score61.1%
Over 2.5 goals58.2%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Ipswich vs Crystal Palace scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.9%

#22-1

9.2%

#31-2

7.4%

#41-0

7.3%

#52-0

6.8%

EXPECTED GOALS

Ipswich 1.68 · Crystal Palace 1.35

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

37.7% to 51.3%

The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

13 vs 12

Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Crystal Palace.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 30

Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.31 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.031 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.199 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.022 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Ipswich vs Crystal Palace prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Crystal Palace?

Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 44.3%. The draw is 25.6%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Crystal Palace?

The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 11.9%.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Crystal Palace?

The model gives both teams to score a 61.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 58.2% probability.

When is Ipswich Town vs Crystal Palace?

Ipswich Town vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional.

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