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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 25 · WEDNESDAY, 10 FEBRUARY 2027

Ipswich Town vs Arsenal prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 49.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Ipswich TownIPS47.6 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.4% exact-score probability
ArsenalARS73.3 projected points
Ipswich win25.0%
Draw26.1%
Arsenal win49.0%
Both teams score56.1%
Over 2.5 goals53.3%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Ipswich vs Arsenal scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.4%

#21-2

9.6%

#30-1

9.2%

#40-2

8.4%

#50-0

6.9%

EXPECTED GOALS

Ipswich 1.14 · Arsenal 1.67

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

21.2% to 31.2%

The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

13 vs 2

Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Arsenal.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 25

Wednesday, 10 February 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.9 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.046 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.086 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.062 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Ipswich vs Arsenal prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?

Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 49.0%. The draw is 26.1%.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?

The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Arsenal, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.

Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.3% probability.

When is Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?

Ipswich Town vs Arsenal is scheduled for Wednesday, 10 February 2027, time provisional.

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