Ipswich Town vs Arsenal prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 53.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
ArsenalARS73.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Ipswich vs Arsenal scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.8%
9.8%
9.4%
9.2%
6.6%
Ipswich 1.07 · Arsenal 1.79
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
17.0% to 29.5%
The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 1
Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Arsenal.
Matchweek 25
Wednesday, 10 February 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.9 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.046 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.039 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.021 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Ipswich vs Arsenal prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 53.5%. The draw is 24.9%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Arsenal, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
The model gives both teams to score a 55.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.5% probability.
When is Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
Ipswich Town vs Arsenal is scheduled for Wednesday, 10 February 2027, time provisional.