Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 39.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
AFC BournemouthBOU51.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Ipswich vs Bournemouth scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.4%
8.7%
8.1%
7.2%
6.6%
Ipswich 1.51 · Bournemouth 1.41
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
30.7% to 49.4%
The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 11
Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Bournemouth.
Matchweek 10
Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.46 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.011 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.162 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.037 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Ipswich vs Bournemouth prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth?
Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 39.0%. The draw is 26.4%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 AFC Bournemouth, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.1% probability.
When is Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth?
Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth is scheduled for Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional.