Hull City vs Sunderland prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Hull City win the strongest outcome at 44.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Sunderland scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
13.0%
9.4%
9.2%
7.9%
7.7%
Hull 1.54 · Sunderland 1.16
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
36.6% to 51.3%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 19
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Sunderland.
Matchweek 25
Wednesday, 10 February 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.28 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.016 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.139 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.117 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Sunderland prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Sunderland?
Hull City win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 44.9%. The draw is 27.2%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Sunderland?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Sunderland, with an estimated probability of 13.0%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Sunderland?
The model gives both teams to score a 54.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 50.6% probability.
When is Hull City vs Sunderland?
Hull City vs Sunderland is scheduled for Wednesday, 10 February 2027, time provisional.