Hull City vs Newcastle United prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Newcastle United win the strongest outcome at 40.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Newcastle UnitedNEW54.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Newcastle scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.7%
8.9%
7.9%
7.8%
6.8%
Hull 1.33 · Newcastle 1.51
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
24.5% to 40.4%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 9
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Newcastle.
Matchweek 38
Sunday, 30 May 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.73 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.004 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.171 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.108 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Newcastle prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Newcastle United?
Newcastle United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 40.7%. The draw is 26.8%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Newcastle United?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Newcastle United, with an estimated probability of 12.7%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Newcastle United?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.0% probability.
When is Hull City vs Newcastle United?
Hull City vs Newcastle United is scheduled for Sunday, 30 May 2027, time provisional.