Hull City vs Leeds United prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Leeds United win the strongest outcome at 36.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Leeds UnitedLEE51.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Leeds scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
13.8%
9.1%
9.0%
9.0%
8.1%
Hull 1.26 · Leeds 1.28
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
25.2% to 43.3%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 10
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Leeds.
Matchweek 18
Wednesday, 30 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.4 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.024 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.034 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.055 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Leeds prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Leeds United?
Leeds United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 36.0%. The draw is 28.9%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Leeds United?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Leeds United, with an estimated probability of 13.8%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Leeds United?
The model gives both teams to score a 52.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 46.4% probability.
When is Hull City vs Leeds United?
Hull City vs Leeds United is scheduled for Wednesday, 30 December 2026, time provisional.