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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 9 · SATURDAY, 31 OCTOBER 2026

Hull City vs Ipswich Town prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Hull City win the strongest outcome at 39.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.9% exact-score probability
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
Hull win39.9%
Draw27.2%
Ipswich win32.9%
Both teams score57.1%
Over 2.5 goals52.5%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Hull vs Ipswich scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.9%

#22-1

8.8%

#31-0

8.2%

#41-2

7.8%

#50-1

7.2%

EXPECTED GOALS

Hull 1.46 · Ipswich 1.31

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

30.8% to 48.6%

The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

17 vs 16

Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Ipswich.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 9

Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.2 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.086 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.093 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Hull vs Ipswich prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Ipswich Town?

Hull City win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 39.9%. The draw is 27.2%.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Ipswich Town?

The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Ipswich Town?

The model gives both teams to score a 57.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.5% probability.

When is Hull City vs Ipswich Town?

Hull City vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time.