Hull City vs Crystal Palace prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Hull City win the strongest outcome at 42.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Crystal Palace scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.8%
9.0%
8.4%
7.5%
7.1%
Hull 1.52 · Crystal Palace 1.27
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
35.4% to 49.2%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Crystal Palace.
Matchweek 23
Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.51 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.031 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.132 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.21 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Crystal Palace prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Crystal Palace?
Hull City win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 42.2%. The draw is 27.0%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 12.8%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.7% probability.
When is Hull City vs Crystal Palace?
Hull City vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional.