Hull City vs Chelsea prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Chelsea win the strongest outcome at 48.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
ChelseaCHE64.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Chelsea scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.1%
9.6%
8.6%
8.1%
6.6%
Hull 1.18 · Chelsea 1.71
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
18.7% to 34.6%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 3
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Chelsea.
Matchweek 30
Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.86 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.017 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.078 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.075 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Chelsea prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Chelsea?
Chelsea win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 48.9%. The draw is 25.6%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Chelsea?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Chelsea, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Chelsea?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 55.3% probability.
When is Hull City vs Chelsea?
Hull City vs Chelsea is scheduled for Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional.