Hull City vs Brentford prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 43.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
BrentfordBRE56.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Brentford scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.1%
9.1%
7.5%
7.4%
6.8%
Hull 1.34 · Brentford 1.63
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
25.3% to 38.0%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
18 vs 6
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Brentford.
Matchweek 8
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.59 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.027 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.101 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.052 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Brentford prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Brentford?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.4%. The draw is 25.9%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Brentford?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Brentford?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.1% probability.
When is Hull City vs Brentford?
Hull City vs Brentford is scheduled for Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time.
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