Hull City vs Brentford prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 42.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Brentford scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.9%
9.0%
8.6%
7.5%
7.3%
Hull 1.25 · Brentford 1.50
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
24.2% to 39.7%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 6
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Brentford.
Matchweek 8
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.59 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.027 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.054 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.012 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Brentford prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Brentford?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 42.0%. The draw is 27.2%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Brentford?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Brentford?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.9% probability.
When is Hull City vs Brentford?
Hull City vs Brentford is scheduled for Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time.