Hull City vs Arsenal prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 59.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
ArsenalARS73.6 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Arsenal scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.3%
10.7%
10.4%
9.9%
6.8%
Hull 0.93 · Arsenal 1.89
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
12.6% to 24.3%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 1
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Arsenal.
Matchweek 21
Saturday, 16 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-1.1 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.046 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.047 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.071 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Arsenal prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Arsenal?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 59.1%. The draw is 23.7%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Arsenal?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Arsenal, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Arsenal?
The model gives both teams to score a 52.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.5% probability.
When is Hull City vs Arsenal?
Hull City vs Arsenal is scheduled for Saturday, 16 January 2027, time provisional.