Hull City vs Arsenal prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Arsenal win the strongest outcome at 56.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
ArsenalARS73.3 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Arsenal scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.4%
9.9%
9.8%
9.5%
6.3%
Hull 1.02 · Arsenal 1.88
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
15.3% to 25.4%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
18 vs 2
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Arsenal.
Matchweek 21
Saturday, 16 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-1.1 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.046 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.025 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.095 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Arsenal prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Arsenal?
Arsenal win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 56.7%. The draw is 24.0%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Arsenal?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Arsenal, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Arsenal?
The model gives both teams to score a 55.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 55.4% probability.
When is Hull City vs Arsenal?
Hull City vs Arsenal is scheduled for Saturday, 16 January 2027, time provisional.
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