Hull City vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes AFC Bournemouth win the strongest outcome at 38.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
AFC BournemouthBOU45.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Bournemouth scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.3%
8.6%
8.1%
7.0%
6.6%
Hull 1.43 · Bournemouth 1.52
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
28.6% to 40.9%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
18 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Bournemouth.
Matchweek 34
Saturday, 1 May 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.66 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.011 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.132 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.138 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Bournemouth prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs AFC Bournemouth?
AFC Bournemouth win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 38.8%. The draw is 26.3%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 AFC Bournemouth, with an estimated probability of 12.3%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs AFC Bournemouth?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.6% probability.
When is Hull City vs AFC Bournemouth?
Hull City vs AFC Bournemouth is scheduled for Saturday, 1 May 2027, time provisional.
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