Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Everton win the strongest outcome at 46.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Everton vs Tottenham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.7%
9.4%
7.3%
7.1%
7.1%
Everton 1.73 · Tottenham 1.32
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
37.3% to 55.0%
The Everton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
12 vs 14
Current mean projected league positions for Everton and Tottenham.
Matchweek 30
Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.08 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.015 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.072 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.152 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Everton vs Tottenham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Everton win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 46.2%. The draw is 25.3%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely exact score is Everton 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 11.7%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The model gives both teams to score a 61.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 58.9% probability.
When is Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Saturday, 20 March 2027, time provisional.