Everton vs Nottingham Forest prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Everton win the strongest outcome at 44.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
EvertonEVE50 projected points
Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Everton vs Nott'm Forest scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
13.4%
10.2%
9.0%
8.7%
8.1%
Everton 1.45 · Nott'm Forest 1.11
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
38.4% to 48.3%
The Everton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
11 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Everton and Nott'm Forest.
Matchweek 27
Saturday, 27 February 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.08 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.003 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.047 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.114 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Everton vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Nottingham Forest?
Everton win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 44.0%. The draw is 28.1%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Nottingham Forest?
The most likely exact score is Everton 1-1 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Nottingham Forest?
The model gives both teams to score a 52.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 47.3% probability.
When is Everton vs Nottingham Forest?
Everton vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Saturday, 27 February 2027, time provisional.
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