Everton vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Everton win the strongest outcome at 55.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
EvertonEVE50 projected points
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Everton vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.8%
10.1%
9.9%
9.9%
7.0%
Everton 1.80 · Hull 1.00
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
50.0% to 61.3%
The Everton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
11 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Everton and Hull.
Matchweek 35
Saturday, 8 May 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.47 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.002 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.134 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.015 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Everton vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Hull City?
Everton win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 55.2%. The draw is 24.8%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is Everton 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 53.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.9% probability.
When is Everton vs Hull City?
Everton vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 8 May 2027, time provisional.
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