Everton vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Everton win the strongest outcome at 54.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Everton vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.3%
11.2%
10.3%
9.7%
8.0%
Everton 1.71 · Hull 0.94
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
48.4% to 61.9%
The Everton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
12 vs 17
Current mean projected league positions for Everton and Hull.
Matchweek 35
Saturday, 8 May 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.47 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.002 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.093 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.046 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Everton vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Hull City?
Everton win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 54.6%. The draw is 25.7%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is Everton 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 12.3%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 50.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 49.4% probability.
When is Everton vs Hull City?
Everton vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 8 May 2027, time provisional.