Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Crystal Palace win the strongest outcome at 40.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Crystal Palace vs Tottenham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.9%
8.6%
8.0%
6.8%
5.6%
Crystal Palace 1.69 · Tottenham 1.58
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
33.7% to 45.5%
The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
18 vs 14
Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Tottenham.
Matchweek 22
Saturday, 23 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.04 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.045 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.111 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.012 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Crystal Palace win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 40.0%. The draw is 24.7%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 10.9%.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The model gives both teams to score a 65.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 63.6% probability.
When is Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Saturday, 23 January 2027, time provisional.