Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 45.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Crystal Palace vs Liverpool scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.6%
9.3%
7.2%
7.1%
6.9%
Crystal Palace 1.34 · Liverpool 1.73
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
25.7% to 35.0%
The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
18 vs 4
Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Liverpool.
Matchweek 10
Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.43 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.009 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.013 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.074 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 45.7%. The draw is 25.2%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Liverpool, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
The model gives both teams to score a 61.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 59.3% probability.
When is Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool is scheduled for Saturday, 7 November 2026, time provisional.