Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Crystal Palace win the strongest outcome at 43.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Crystal Palace vs Ipswich scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.2%
9.2%
7.6%
7.5%
6.9%
Crystal Palace 1.63 · Ipswich 1.33
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
35.8% to 53.5%
The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
18 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Ipswich.
Matchweek 4
Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.31 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.031 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.218 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.118 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Crystal Palace vs Ipswich prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
Crystal Palace win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.6%. The draw is 26.0%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 12.2%.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.7% probability.
When is Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time.