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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 12 · SATURDAY, 28 NOVEMBER 2026

Crystal Palace vs Hull City prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Crystal Palace win the strongest outcome at 49.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.4% exact-score probability
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Crystal Palace win49.2%
Draw26.1%
Hull win24.7%
Both teams score55.8%
Over 2.5 goals53.0%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Crystal Palace vs Hull scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.4%

#22-1

9.6%

#31-0

9.3%

#42-0

8.5%

#50-0

7.0%

EXPECTED GOALS

Crystal Palace 1.67 · Hull 1.13

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

42.1% to 54.9%

The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

18 vs 17

Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Hull.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 12

Saturday, 28 November 2026, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.51 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.031 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.132 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.21 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Crystal Palace vs Hull prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Hull City?

Crystal Palace win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 49.2%. The draw is 26.1%.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Hull City?

The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Hull City?

The model gives both teams to score a 55.8% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.0% probability.

When is Crystal Palace vs Hull City?

Crystal Palace vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 28 November 2026, time provisional.