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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 31 · SATURDAY, 10 APRIL 2027

Crystal Palace vs Everton prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Crystal Palace win the strongest outcome at 38.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-113.2% exact-score probability
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
Crystal Palace win38.7%
Draw27.7%
Everton win33.6%
Both teams score55.9%
Over 2.5 goals50.8%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Crystal Palace vs Everton scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

13.2%

#22-1

8.6%

#31-0

8.4%

#41-2

7.9%

#50-1

7.7%

EXPECTED GOALS

Crystal Palace 1.41 · Everton 1.30

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

33.4% to 44.2%

The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

18 vs 12

Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Everton.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 31

Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.04 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.029 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.039 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.164 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Crystal Palace vs Everton prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Crystal Palace win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 38.7%. The draw is 27.7%.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Everton?

The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 13.2%.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Everton?

The model gives both teams to score a 55.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 50.8% probability.

When is Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Crystal Palace vs Everton is scheduled for Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional.