THE FOOTBALL SIMULATORCreate free account
PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 31 · SATURDAY, 10 APRIL 2027

Crystal Palace vs Everton prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Crystal Palace win the strongest outcome at 45.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Crystal PalaceCRY47.9 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.7% exact-score probability
EvertonEVE50 projected points
Crystal Palace win45.5%
Draw26.8%
Everton win27.7%
Both teams score56.1%
Over 2.5 goals52.2%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Crystal Palace vs Everton scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.7%

#22-1

9.3%

#31-0

9.0%

#42-0

7.8%

#50-0

7.2%

EXPECTED GOALS

Crystal Palace 1.58 · Everton 1.19

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

41.0% to 50.4%

The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

12 vs 11

Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Everton.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 31

Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.04 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.029 xG-trend differential

neutral

Squad inputs

-0.005 goal-rate signal

neutral

Recent results

+0.004 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Crystal Palace vs Everton prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Crystal Palace win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 45.5%. The draw is 26.8%.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Everton?

The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 12.7%.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Everton?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.2% probability.

When is Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Crystal Palace vs Everton is scheduled for Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional.

FREE ACCOUNT · NO CARD REQUIRED

Follow your club, not a generic feed

Create your account, then optionally save a Premier League club to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.

  • Saved club dashboard
  • Live probability view
  • Member referral rewards
Create free accountCompare free and Pro