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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 24 · SATURDAY, 6 FEBRUARY 2027

Crystal Palace vs Coventry City prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Crystal Palace win the strongest outcome at 56.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Crystal PalaceCRY47.9 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.1% exact-score probability
Coventry CityCOV38.1 projected points
Crystal Palace win56.9%
Draw23.6%
Coventry win19.5%
Both teams score56.5%
Over 2.5 goals57.2%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Crystal Palace vs Coventry scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.1%

#22-1

9.9%

#32-0

9.4%

#41-0

9.0%

#53-1

6.4%

EXPECTED GOALS

Crystal Palace 1.93 · Coventry 1.05

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

50.8% to 63.4%

The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

12 vs 19

Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Coventry.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 24

Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.39 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.031 xG-trend differential

neutral

Squad inputs

+0.011 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.025 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Crystal Palace vs Coventry prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Coventry City?

Crystal Palace win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 56.9%. The draw is 23.6%.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Coventry City?

The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Coventry City, with an estimated probability of 11.1%.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Coventry City?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.2% probability.

When is Crystal Palace vs Coventry City?

Crystal Palace vs Coventry City is scheduled for Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional.

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