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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 25 · WEDNESDAY, 10 FEBRUARY 2027

Crystal Palace vs Brentford prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 39.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.7% exact-score probability
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
Crystal Palace win33.8%
Draw26.9%
Brentford win39.3%
Both teams score58.4%
Over 2.5 goals54.0%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Crystal Palace vs Brentford scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.7%

#21-2

8.7%

#32-1

8.0%

#40-1

7.7%

#51-0

7.0%

EXPECTED GOALS

Crystal Palace 1.36 · Brentford 1.48

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

29.9% to 39.2%

The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

18 vs 6

Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Brentford.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 25

Wednesday, 10 February 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.08 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

-0.005 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.078 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.198 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Crystal Palace vs Brentford prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs Brentford?

Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 39.3%. The draw is 26.9%.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Brentford?

The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 12.7%.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Brentford?

The model gives both teams to score a 58.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.0% probability.

When is Crystal Palace vs Brentford?

Crystal Palace vs Brentford is scheduled for Wednesday, 10 February 2027, time provisional.