Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes AFC Bournemouth win the strongest outcome at 37.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
AFC BournemouthBOU51.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.8%
8.5%
8.2%
7.5%
7.3%
Crystal Palace 1.39 · Bournemouth 1.44
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
31.4% to 40.5%
The Crystal Palace home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
18 vs 11
Current mean projected league positions for Crystal Palace and Bournemouth.
Matchweek 18
Wednesday, 30 December 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.15 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.02 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.055 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.081 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth?
AFC Bournemouth win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 37.5%. The draw is 27.0%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth?
The most likely exact score is Crystal Palace 1-1 AFC Bournemouth, with an estimated probability of 12.8%.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.7% probability.
When is Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth?
Crystal Palace vs AFC Bournemouth is scheduled for Wednesday, 30 December 2026, time provisional.