Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Chelsea win the strongest outcome at 55.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ChelseaCHE64.1 projected points
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Chelsea vs Nott'm Forest scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.3%
9.9%
9.3%
9.0%
6.3%
Chelsea 1.90 · Nott'm Forest 1.07
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
47.7% to 61.8%
The Chelsea home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
3 vs 13
Current mean projected league positions for Chelsea and Nott'm Forest.
Matchweek 23
Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.31 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.018 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.023 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.032 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Chelsea vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
Chelsea win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 55.9%. The draw is 23.9%.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
The most likely exact score is Chelsea 1-1 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.9% probability.
When is Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional.