Chelsea vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Chelsea win the strongest outcome at 68.0%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
ChelseaCHE64.1 projected points
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Chelsea vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.1%
9.7%
9.3%
9.1%
8.4%
Chelsea 2.26 · Hull 0.88
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
57.5% to 75.6%
The Chelsea home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
3 vs 17
Current mean projected league positions for Chelsea and Hull.
Matchweek 4
Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.86 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.017 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.078 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.075 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Chelsea vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Chelsea vs Hull City?
Chelsea win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 68.0%. The draw is 19.6%.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is Chelsea 2-0 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 11.1%.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 53.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.7% probability.
When is Chelsea vs Hull City?
Chelsea vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time.