Brentford vs Sunderland prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 61.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brentford vs Sunderland scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
10.3%
10.0%
10.0%
8.8%
7.0%
Brentford 2.09 · Sunderland 1.00
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
57.1% to 66.8%
The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
6 vs 19
Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Sunderland.
Matchweek 3
Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.31 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.043 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.085 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.105 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brentford vs Sunderland prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Sunderland?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 61.8%. The draw is 21.9%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Sunderland?
The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Sunderland, with an estimated probability of 10.3%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Sunderland?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 59.6% probability.
When is Brentford vs Sunderland?
Brentford vs Sunderland is scheduled for Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time.