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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 9 · SATURDAY, 31 OCTOBER 2026

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 49.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.4% exact-score probability
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
Brentford win49.2%
Draw26.0%
Nott'm Forest win24.8%
Both teams score56.1%
Over 2.5 goals53.3%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Brentford vs Nott'm Forest scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.4%

#22-1

9.6%

#31-0

9.2%

#42-0

8.5%

#50-0

6.9%

EXPECTED GOALS

Brentford 1.68 · Nott'm Forest 1.13

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

42.6% to 54.9%

The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

6 vs 13

Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Nott'm Forest.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 9

Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.04 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.028 xG-trend differential

neutral

Squad inputs

+0.001 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.094 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Brentford vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 49.2%. The draw is 26.0%.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.3% probability.

When is Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time.