Brentford vs Liverpool prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 41.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brentford vs Liverpool scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.9%
8.9%
7.9%
6.8%
6.3%
Brentford 1.61 · Liverpool 1.43
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
36.7% to 47.9%
The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
6 vs 4
Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Liverpool.
Matchweek 7
Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.35 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.004 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.064 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.125 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brentford vs Liverpool prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Liverpool?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 41.1%. The draw is 25.8%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Liverpool?
The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Liverpool, with an estimated probability of 11.9%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Liverpool?
The model gives both teams to score a 61.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 58.5% probability.
When is Brentford vs Liverpool?
Brentford vs Liverpool is scheduled for Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time.