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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 28 · WEDNESDAY, 3 MARCH 2027

Brentford vs Ipswich Town prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 55.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.3% exact-score probability
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
Brentford win55.8%
Draw23.9%
Ipswich win20.2%
Both teams score56.7%
Over 2.5 goals57.0%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Brentford vs Ipswich scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.3%

#22-1

9.9%

#32-0

9.3%

#41-0

8.9%

#53-1

6.3%

EXPECTED GOALS

Brentford 1.90 · Ipswich 1.07

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

46.5% to 64.8%

The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

6 vs 16

Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Ipswich.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 28

Wednesday, 3 March 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.39 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.027 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.14 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.081 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Brentford vs Ipswich prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Ipswich Town?

Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 55.8%. The draw is 23.9%.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Ipswich Town?

The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Ipswich Town?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.0% probability.

When is Brentford vs Ipswich Town?

Brentford vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Wednesday, 3 March 2027, time provisional.