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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 37 · SUNDAY, 23 MAY 2027

Brentford vs Hull City prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 63.5%. The most likely score is 2-0, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

BrentfordBRE56.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE2-010.0% exact-score probability
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
Brentford win63.5%
Draw21.0%
Hull win15.5%
Both teams score56.6%
Over 2.5 goals61.4%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Brentford vs Hull scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#12-0

10.0%

#22-1

9.9%

#31-1

9.8%

#41-0

8.4%

#53-0

7.2%

EXPECTED GOALS

Brentford 2.18 · Hull 1.00

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

55.3% to 69.4%

The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

6 vs 18

Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Hull.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 37

Sunday, 23 May 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.59 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.027 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.101 goal-rate signal

home

Recent results

+0.052 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Brentford vs Hull prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Hull City?

Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 63.5%. The draw is 21.0%.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Hull City?

The most likely exact score is Brentford 2-0 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 10.0%.

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Hull City?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 61.4% probability.

When is Brentford vs Hull City?

Brentford vs Hull City is scheduled for Sunday, 23 May 2027, time provisional.

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