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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 37 · SUNDAY, 23 MAY 2027

Brentford vs Hull City prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 61.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-110.7% exact-score probability
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Brentford win61.5%
Draw22.6%
Hull win16.0%
Both teams score53.2%
Over 2.5 goals56.1%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Brentford vs Hull scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

10.7%

#22-0

10.7%

#32-1

9.9%

#41-0

9.9%

#53-0

7.1%

EXPECTED GOALS

Brentford 2.00 · Hull 0.93

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

51.6% to 68.9%

The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

6 vs 17

Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Hull.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 37

Sunday, 23 May 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.59 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.027 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.054 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.012 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Brentford vs Hull prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Hull City?

Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 61.5%. The draw is 22.6%.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Hull City?

The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 10.7%.

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Hull City?

The model gives both teams to score a 53.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.1% probability.

When is Brentford vs Hull City?

Brentford vs Hull City is scheduled for Sunday, 23 May 2027, time provisional.