Brentford vs Crystal Palace prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 53.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
BrentfordBRE56.8 projected points
Crystal PalaceCRY47.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brentford vs Crystal Palace scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.0%
9.8%
8.2%
7.7%
6.2%
Brentford 1.91 · Crystal Palace 1.19
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
49.8% to 57.3%
The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
6 vs 12
Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Crystal Palace.
Matchweek 19
Saturday, 2 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.08 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.005 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.038 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.063 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brentford vs Crystal Palace prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 53.3%. The draw is 23.9%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 11.0%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.0% probability.
When is Brentford vs Crystal Palace?
Brentford vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Saturday, 2 January 2027, time provisional.
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