Brentford vs Aston Villa prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 46.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
Aston VillaAVL55 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brentford vs Aston Villa scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.0%
9.4%
7.8%
7.3%
7.1%
Brentford 1.69 · Aston Villa 1.28
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
41.4% to 53.1%
The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
6 vs 8
Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Aston Villa.
Matchweek 35
Saturday, 8 May 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.18 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.059 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.033 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.201 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brentford vs Aston Villa prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Aston Villa?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 46.3%. The draw is 25.6%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Aston Villa?
The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa, with an estimated probability of 12.0%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Aston Villa?
The model gives both teams to score a 59.8% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.1% probability.
When is Brentford vs Aston Villa?
Brentford vs Aston Villa is scheduled for Saturday, 8 May 2027, time provisional.